Week 10 Reading: Design storms and storm transposition (bring two questions Monday)

How design storms and storm transposition give different flood and damage estimates

Read Baer et al. (2026) (open access, doi.org/10.1038/s44304-026-00208-5) before Monday’s class (11/2).

Focus on the rainfall, meaning how the storms were built and sampled, and on the impacts, meaning how the flood damage differs between design storms and storm transposition. Skim the flood modeling.

Bring two questions about the paper. Monday’s class is a worksheet in pairs with no computers, so bring your notes on paper.

References

Baer, J. A., Sebastian, A., Grimley, L. E., Doss-Gollin, J., Wright, D. B., Hussain, M. A., & Webber, M. K. (2026). Neglecting spatiotemporal rainfall variability misrepresents flood hazard and risk. Npj Natural Hazards. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44304-026-00208-5